IDC Expects No Fully Autonomous Level 5 Vehicles Before 2025

Vehicles with “some degree” of autonomy will be the majority of those produced by 2024, reported IDC Monday. Fully autonomous vehicles will remain the “aspirational, revolutionary goal that has fueled the billions of dollars in investment by new and traditional automotive ecosystem companies,” it said. Their development and deployment “will require significant advances in technology, customer readiness and trust,” plus government regulation, it said. IDC expects no Level 5 vehicles with full autonomy will be available globally within the next four years, it said. Fully manual, driver-operated Level 0 vehicles remain the majority of those manufactured worldwide, but it's “the only autonomy level that will decline over the forecast period,” said IDC. Vehicles with Level 1 and 2 autonomy will have the largest autonomous growth through 2024, it said: “Because drivers must remain vigilant and in full operational control when these technologies are enabled, their introduction represents a more acceptable level of risk and liability for both vehicle manufacturers and government regulators."