Section 301 Tariffs Proposal, Chinese Response Seen by Merrill Lynch as Negotiations

Both the U.S. proposal for Section 301 tariffs (see 1804040019) and the Chinese response (see 1804030070) are likely stage-setting for future negotiations, said Merrill Lynch analysts in an April 4 note to investors. "Despite the exchange of tariff threats, we believe there is still room for negotiation between the US and China," Helen Qiao and Sylvia Sheng said in the research note. "We maintain our view that China will continue its 'carrot and stick approach,' threatening retaliation but also proposing to expand its imports of US products, cut the auto duty, and ease restrictions for US companies investing and selling in China in negotiations," the analysts said. "As a result, we expect the final version of both the US and China trade measures to be more toned down relative to the initial announcement."